This paper analyses the role of asset prices in comparison to other factors, in particular exchange rates, as a driver of the US trade balance. It employs a Bayesian structural VAR model that requires imposing only a minimum of economically meaningful sign restrictions. We find that equity...

We give a set of identifying conditions for simultaneous equation systems (SES) with heteroskedasticity in the framework of the Gaussian quasi maximum likelihood (QML) approach. Our conditions rely on the presence of heteroskedasticity rather than exclusion restrictions. The QML estimators are...

We give a set of identifying conditions for simultaneous equation systems (SES) with heteroskedasticity in the framework of the Gaussian quasi maximum likelihood (QML) approach. Our conditions rely on the presence of heteroskedasticity rather than exclusion restrictions. The QML estimators are...

The purpose of this paper is to examine the ability of market ratios to predict stock prices of Jordanian manufacturing companies. While stock prices tend to be a strong indicator of healthy economy, scholars identified financial ratios among the factors that can explain movements of stock...

We analyse the links between soccer match results, betting odds and stock returns of all listed European soccer teams. Using an event-study approach, we measure positive (negative) abnormal returns following wins (ties and losses). Additionally, we analyse the role, which we find to be...

Geopolitical events are widely reported in the press and may influence the risk premium demanded by investors in addition to demand and supply of energy resources. Using the daily geopolitical risk index of Caldara and Iacoviello (2018), we demonstrate that geopolitical risk plays an important...

We follow the seminal work of Paelinck (1978) who introduces spatial interdependence of, i.e. income, expenditure, investment, to classic Keynesian economic models, and estimate a spatial factor model. Asset prices may display characteristics of spatial dependence meaning spatial proximity can...

Due to the highly voluminous, heterogeneous, and unstructured nature of global business news streaming at a fast pace, it has become increasingly difficult for marketing executives, corporate communications managers, and market analysts to make sense and track news media stories addressing the...

We discuss the finding that cross-sectional characteristic based models have yielded portfolios with higher excess monthly returns but lower risk than their arbitrage pricing theory counterparts in an analysis of equity returns of stocks listed on the JSE. Under the assumption of general...

Pricing of capital share risks provides a novel link between macroeconomicsand finance. Our paper adopts the Epstein-Zin type utility framework andthe Bansal and Yaron's (2004) long-run risk model to derive an heterogeneousasset pricing model that extends Lettau et al.'s (2019) capital share...