This paper introduces the quantile regression- based Distance-to-Default to Probability of Default (DD-PD) mapping, which links individual firms’ DD to their real world PD. Since changes in the DD depend on a handful of parameters, the mapping easily accommodates shocks arising from...

In an effort to provide a set of reasonable expectations for stock market performance during 2011, we present results of two simple econometric exercises. Our starting point is the recent trough of economic activity which took place in June of 2009, according to the NBER. This means 2011...

In the recent years several commentators hinted at an increase of the correlation between equity and commodity prices, and blamed investment in commodity-related products for this. First, this paper investigates such claims by looking at various measures of correlation. Next, we assess to what...

We show in a simple framework that momentum trading can exist in equilibrium and momentum trading is profitable. Properties of the model fit the empirics well. First, the model captures in a parsimonious manner both short-term overreaction and long-term reversals. Second, it predicts that...

Sequentially examining the full chain of events starting from the default of firms through the fire-sale of goods towards write-offs of bad loans, a new matrix of financial transactions was developed. It was shown that if firms have no equities, the cost of default of those firms is equal zero....

This article develops an agent-based model of security market pricing process, capable to capture main stylised facts. It features collective market pricing mechanisms based upon evolving heterogeneous expectations that incorporate signals of security issuer fundamental performance over time....

This paper develops a theoretical analysis of share market price formation driven by accounting and market structures. Heterogeneous investors are assumed to discover and process fundamental information disclosed by accounting system of share-issuing entity. Information set available to share...

The study explores a relationship between divergence in ESG scores (measurements of a company's performance in environmental, social and governance issues) and excess stock returns on the European equity market. The sample consists of 851 European stocks in the period from January 2015 to May...

This paper empirically determined the impact of economic policy uncertainties on the Indian stock market. Taking advantage of a unique data set over the period 2004- 2017 (14 yrs), we made use of Mixed data sampling (MIDAS) for our empirical assessment. The result showed that an increase in...