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Understanding correlations in complex systems is crucial in the face of turbulence, such as the ongoing financial crisis. However, in complex systems, such as financial systems, correlations are not constant but instead vary in time. Here we address the question of quantifying state-dependent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098531
The dynamics of news are such that some days are dominated by a single story while others see news outlets reporting on a range of different events. While these large-scale features of news are familiar to many, they are often ignored in settings where they may be important in understanding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960411
The complex behavior of financial markets emerges from decisions made by many traders. Here, we exploit a large corpus of daily print issues of the Financial Times from 2nd January 2007 until 31st December 2012 to quantify the relationship between decisions taken in financial markets and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061319
Financial crises result from a catastrophic combination of actions. Vast stock market datasets offer us a window into some of the actions that have led to these crises. Here, we investigate whether data generated through Internet usage contain traces of attempts to gather information before...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063944
This paper investigates and analyzes the long-run equilibrium relationship between the Thai stock Exchange Index (SETI) and selected macroeconomic variables using monthly time series data that cover a 20-year period from January 1990 to December 2009. The following macroeconomic variables are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010406272
This paper features an analysis of the cointegration relationships among agricultural commodity, ethanol and Cushing … cointegration and Markov-switching VECM and Impulse Response Analysis, confirms that these markets have significant linkages which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011479769
regression models, 2010) as well as the cointegration tests developed in Arai and Kurozumi (Testing for the null hypothesis of … cointegration with a structural break, 2007) and Kejriwal (Cointegration with structural breaks: an application to the Feldstein …- Horioka Puzzle, 2008). The results obtained are consistent with the existence of linear cointegration between the log stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011745419
The efficient-market hypothesis (EMH) is one of the most important economic and financial hypotheses that have been tested over the past century. Due to many abnormal phenomena and conflicting evidence, otherwise known as anomalies against EMH, some academics have questioned whether EMH is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012237439
Brazil is the largest stock market in South America, whereas Argentina is one of the smallest. Nonetheless, the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099289
bivariate testing for cointegration and correlation analysis. The results indicate that there exist strong long … central markets. With respect to the efficient market hypothesis, the findings by cointegration analysis put some further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298795