Showing 1 - 10 of 2,499
. In addition, stock prices are partly driven by noise, and therefore negatively predict returns on announcement days when … noise is revealed and the market corrects itself …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846330
private sector, impairing the stabilizing effects of the policy. Using a theoretical model, we show that these signaling … identify fiscal news with different degrees of signaling effects and find that such effects weaken or, in extreme cases, even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015052575
at odds with rational behavior. Differences in information quality in combination with asymmetric information lead to an … mimicked by access to the realization of a certain signal including its quality, as well as in an environment in which signal … quality is the only source of information asymmetry. Both scenarios support price patterns like momentum and reversal in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011952636
In this paper we develop an analytical model that characterizes the structure of price dispersion observed in electronic markets. Findings of our model are consistent with empirical evidence in these e-markets. We show that when different types of buyers' have different search costs, firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014028461
We propose an extension of the class of rational expectations bubbles (REBs) to the more general rational beliefs setting of Kurz (1994a,b). In a potentially non-stationary but stationarizable environment, it is possible to hold more than one (small-r) “rational” expectation. When rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919580
We propose an extension of the class of rational expectations bubbles (REBs) to the more general rational beliefs setting of Kurz (1994a,b). In a potentially non-stationary but stationarizable environment, among an heterogenous population of agents, it is possible to hold more than one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181099
We experimentally investigate how price expectations are formed in a large asset market where subjects' only task is to forecast the future price of a risky asset. The realized prices depend on these expectations. We observe small (6 participants) and large markets (about 100 participants). In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979625
We develop a general framework for measuring biases in expectation formation. The method is based on the insight that biases can be inferred from the response of forecast errors to past news. Empirically, biases are measured by flexibly estimating the impulse response function of forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011869992
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015070820
static models, where it acts as “noise,” in dynamic markets stochastic supply contains information about risk premiums …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008223