We show that in a consumption-based asset-pricing model with hyperbolic discounting leading to dynamically inconsistent time preferences value premium increases nonlin-early with the degree of discounting and thus affects cross section of returns. To test our model empirically, we relate the...

We study a number of large international military conflicts since World War II where we establish a news analysis as a proxy for the estimated likelihood that the conflict will result in a war. We find that in cases when there is a pre-war phase, an increase in the war likelihood tends to...

This paper investigates the effect of monetary policy on stock market bubbles and trading behavior in experimental asset markets. For this purpose, we introduce the possibility of investing in interest bearing bonds to the widely used laboratory asset market design of Smith, Suchanek, and...