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Time variation in macro-financial linkages

Prieto, Esteban; Eickmeier, Sandra; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2013

We analyze the contribution of credit spread, house and stock price shocks to GDP growth in the US based on a Bayesian VAR with time-varying parameters estimated over 1958-2012. Our main findings are: (i) The contribution of financial shocks to GDP growth fluctuates from about 20 percent in...