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This paper develops a method to improve the estimation of jump variation using high frequency data with the existence … of market microstructure noises. Accurate estimation of jump variation is in high demand, as it is an important component …-step procedure with detection and estimation. In Step 1, we detect the jump locations by performing wavelet transformation on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568279
We provide a new framework for modeling trends and periodic patterns in high-frequency financial data. Seeking adaptivity to ever-changing market conditions, we enlarge the Fourier flexible form into a richer functional class: both our smooth trend and the seasonality are non-parametrically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007161
This paper investigates the nonlinearity in the effects of news shocks about technological innovations. In a maximally flexible logistic smooth transition vector autoregressive model, state-dependent effects of news shocks are identified based on medium-run restrictions. We propose a novel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011967392
This paper investigates the interaction between stock prices and real exchange rates by applying monthly data from Turkey for the period between January 2001 and September 2016. This study uses the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model and the Error Correction Model (ECM) in order to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649295
According to the log-linear return approximation, the ability of a predictor to predict future stock returns may arise from its ability to predict either the cash flows or the discount rates, or both. This paper introduces novel nonparametric approaches for estimating and testing the time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351244
The paper advances the log-generalized gamma distribution as a suitable generator of conditional skewness. Based on the NYSE composite daily returns an asMA-asQGARCH model along with skewness dynamics is estimated. The results indicate a skewness that varies between sizeable negative skewness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398115
duration estimators can be used for the estimation and forecasting of the integrated variance of an underlying semi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855793
Forecasting stock market returns is one of the most effective tools for risk management and portfolio diversification. There are several forecasting techniques in the literature for obtaining accurate forecasts for investment decision making. Numerous empirical studies have employed such methods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012268500
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000668367
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003834268