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We propose a novel multivariate GARCH model that incorporates realized measures for the variance matrix of returns. The key novelty is the joint formulation of a multivariate dynamic model for outer-products of returns, realized variances and realized covariances. The updating of the variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520881
We assess the predictive accuracy of a large number of multivariate volatility models in terms of pricing options on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107500
; Dynamic conditional correlation ; Return comovement ; Volatility model evaluation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002570445
In this paper we propose a new multivariate GARCH model with time-varying conditional correlation structure. The approach adopted here is based on the decomposition of the covariances into correlations and standard deviations. The time-varying conditional correlations change smoothly between two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281337
This paper proposes a methodology for building Multivariate Time-Varying STCC-GARCH models. The novel contributions in this area are the specification tests related to the correlation component, the extension of the general model to allow for additional correlation regimes, and a detailed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281494
numerical example, we find that the proposed more general asymmetric volatility model has better fit, higher persistence of … threshold GARCH family and propose a more general Spline-GTARCH model, which captures high-frequency return volatility, low …-frequency macroeconomic volatility as well as an asymmetric response to past negative news in both autoregressive conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901903
Examinations of the dynamics of daily returns and volatility in stock markets of the US, Hong Kong and mainland China … the US to the other three markets; but no spillover between Hong Kong and either of the two mainland China markets; (2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011296721
characterized by volatility clustering and asymmetry. Also revealed as a stylized fact is Long memory or long range dependence in … market volatility, with significant impact on pricing and forecasting of market volatility. The implication is that models … that accomodate long memory hold the promise of improved long-run volatility forecast as well as accurate pricing of long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636008
World power and gas markets have a natural relationship with global tradable carbon permits markets, including the U.S. Clean Air Act Amendments and the EU Emissions Trading Scheme, the latter officially launched in January 2005. Electric utilities operate their power plants based in part on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003394343
The transmission mechanisms of volatility between markets can be characterized within a new Markov Switching bivariate … restrictions and hypotheses can be tested to stress the role of one market relative to another (spillover, interdependence … the long run with a spillover from Hong Kong to Korea and Thailand, interdependence with Malaysia and comovement with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160209