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The Fed has never admitted targeting stock prices. Yet our empirical analysis, based on a small macro-econometric model of the U.S. economy in the period 1981-2002, shows that the Fed explicitly takes into account stock price variations in its reaction function. Furthermore, our simulation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142770
This paper empirically determined the impact of economic policy uncertainties on the Indian stock market. Taking advantage of a unique data set over the period 2004- 2017 (14 yrs), we made use of Mixed data sampling (MIDAS) for our empirical assessment. The result showed that an increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295974
We study the impact that macroeconomic news has on equity prices. While the literature has already widely documented the effects of macroeconomic announcements on asset prices, as well as their asymmetric impact during good and bad times, we focus on the reaction to news when the description of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239088
Historical narratives typically associate financial crises with credit expansions and asset price misalignments. The question is whether some combination of measures of credit and asset prices can be used to predict these events. Borio and Lowe (2002) answer this question in the affirmative for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279945
The paper models the links between financial fragility, asset markets and monetary policy. It is shown that central bank's concern about the cost of financial disruption generates an asymmetric response, thus contributing to the creation of an asset price bubble. In an economy with a highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398119
This paper investigates whether central banks can attenuate excessive mispricing in stocks as suggested by the proponents of a \leaning against the wind" (LATW) monetary policy. For this, we decompose stock prices into a fundamental component, a risk premium, and a mispricing component. We argue...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526074
This paper contributes to the debate of whether central banks can \lean against the wind" of emerging stock or house price bubbles. Against this background, the paper evaluates if new advances in real-time bubble detection, as brought forward by Phillips et al. (2011), can timely detect bubble...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300629
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009782578
This article develops an agent-based model of security market pricing process, capable to capture main stylised facts. It features collective market pricing mechanisms based upon evolving heterogeneous expectations that incorporate signals of security issuer fundamental performance over time....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970505
Sequentially examining the full chain of events starting from the default of firms through the fire-sale of goods towards write-offs of bad loans, a new matrix of financial transactions was developed. It was shown that if firms have no equities, the cost of default of those firms is equal zero....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964738