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The availability of intraday data led to the development of new concepts and models. In the paper we focus on the jumps observed in the stock and index returns. These abnormal returns should be linked to information on the market. Here we detect jumps in equally spaced 15-minute intraday returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109361
The vast of literature concerning the reaction to macroeconomic announcements focus on American releases and their impact on returns and volatility. We are interested if the news from the German and the Polish economy are significant for the stock exchanges in these two countries. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091423
The objective of this paper is to provide a practical tool for stock price evaluation and forecasting under Extreme Value Theory (EVT). Three existing models are reviewed; these models include: Mordern Portfolio Theory, Black-Scholes, and Jarrow-Rudd models. It was found that these models may not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970310
The quantification of risk and dependence are major components of financial risk modelling. Financial risk modelling frequenty uses the assumption of a normal distribution when considereing the return series which makes modelling easy but is inefficient if the data is not normally distributed or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090357
We investigate the distributions of e-drawdowns and e-drawups of the most liquid futures financial contracts of the world at time scales of 30 seconds. The e-drawdowns (resp. e-drawups) generalise the notion of runs of negative (resp. positive) returns so as to capture the risks to which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412365
This paper introduces an alternative testing procedure to test the distribution of the error term in the Autoregressive Conditional Duration (ACD) class of models. In these models, the error term is normally interpreted as the standardized duration by which its probability distribution may have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014166683
We perform a comprehensive Monte Carlo comparison between nine procedures available in the literature to detect jumps in financial assets proposed by Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (2006), Andersen et al. (2007), Lee and Mykland (2008), A¨ıt-Sahalia and Jacod (2008), Jiang and Oomen (2008),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119580
From a banking supervisory perspective, this paper analyses aspects of market risk of an aggregated trading portfolio comprised of the trading books of 11 German banks with a regulatory approved internal market risk model. Based on real, clean profit and loss data and Value-at-Risk estimates of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003846947
From a banking supervisory perspective, this paper analyses aspects of market risk of an aggregated trading portfolio comprised of the trading books of 11 German banks with a regulatory approved internal market risk model. Based on real, clean profit and loss data and Value-at-Risk estimates of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989258
We propose using a permutation test to detect discontinuities in an underlying economic model at a known cutoff point. Relative to the existing literature, we show that this test is well suited for event studies based on time‐series data. The test statistic measures the distance between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014306351