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In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395968
Dynamic average correlations of stock returns are predicted by the volatility of the market excess return and moving average returns of value, size and momentum portfolios. While the influence of market volatility on average correlation is well-known, the role of value, size and momentum appears...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011599
The simultaneous occurrence of jumps in several stocks can be associated with major financial news, triggers short-term predictability in stock returns, is correlated with sudden spikes of the variance risk premium, and determines a persistent increase (decrease) of stock variances and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544772
This paper studies the information content of the S&P 500 and VIX markets on the volatility of the S&P 500 returns. We estimate a flexible affine model based on a joint time series of underlying indexes and option prices on both markets. An extensive model specification analysis reveals that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410916
This paper provides empirical evidence that volatility markets are integrated through the time-varying term structure of variance risk premia. These risk premia predict the returns from selling volatility for different horizons, maturities, and products, including variance swaps, straddles, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011904683
We propose uniformly valid inference on volatility with noisy high-frequency data. We assume the observed transaction price follows a continuous-time Itô-semimartingale, contaminated by a discrete-time moving-average noise process associated with the arrival of trades. We estimate the quadratic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900993
Several novel large volatility matrix estimation methods have been developed based on the high-frequency financial data. They often employ the approximate factor model that leads to a low-rank plus sparse structure for the integrated volatility matrix and facilitates estimation of large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941598
The aim of this paper is to develop a multi-asset model based on the Hawkes process describing the evolution of assets at high frequency and to study the lead-lag relationship as well as the correlation between the stocks within this framework. Thanks to its strong analytical tractability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005817
This paper provides explicit formulas for the first and second moments and the autocorrelation function of the number of jumps over a given interval for the multivariate Hawkes process. These computations are possible thanks to the affine property of this process. We unify the stock price models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033764
In this paper, we investigate the effect of the U.S.--China trade war on stock markets from a financial contagion perspective, based on high-frequency financial data. Specifically, to account for risk contagion between the U.S. and China stock markets, we develop a novel jump-diffusion process....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307247