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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009782578
In an effort to provide a set of reasonable expectations for stock market performance during 2011, we present results of two simple econometric exercises. Our starting point is the recent trough of economic activity which took place in June of 2009, according to the NBER. This means 2011...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130660
for asset allocation. We develop a time-varying Bayesian Dynamic Conditional Correlation model for volatilities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081553
We show in a simple framework that momentum trading can exist in equilibrium and momentum trading is profitable. Properties of the model fit the empirics well. First, the model captures in a parsimonious manner both short-term overreaction and long-term reversals. Second, it predicts that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089438
equities, the cost of default of those firms is equal zero. Indeed, firms suffer from losses on fire-sales but at the same time … and deposits affect the performance of banks and firms, observing economic dynamics in time under different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964738
of security issuer fundamental performance over time. Distinctive signaling sources on this performance correspond to …), confidence, and diffusion degree among investors over space and time. Under full and immediate diffusion and balanced reaction by … confidence mood among investors over space and time. We illustrate our results through paradigmatic cases of stochastic news …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970505
another side, price system provides collective signal of market-driven information over time. Both jointly drive the formation … share market prices over time.This numerical statistical analysis contributes to shed light on accounting anomalies and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035505
The study explores a relationship between divergence in ESG scores (measurements of a company's performance in environmental, social and governance issues) and excess stock returns on the European equity market. The sample consists of 851 European stocks in the period from January 2015 to May...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014555765
This paper empirically determined the impact of economic policy uncertainties on the Indian stock market. Taking advantage of a unique data set over the period 2004- 2017 (14 yrs), we made use of Mixed data sampling (MIDAS) for our empirical assessment. The result showed that an increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295974
We show that updates to macroeconomic expectations among professional forecasters exhibit an offsetting pattern where increases in current-quarter predictions lead to decreases in three quarter ahead predictions. We further document evidence of individual overreaction at the quarterly frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013482590