This paper elaborates on the link between financial market volatility and real economic activity. Using monthly data for Germany from 1968 to 1998, we specify GARCH models to capture the variability of stock market prices, of the real exchange rate, and of a long-term and of a short-term rate of...

This paper presents theoretical models and their empirical results for the return and variance dynamics of German stocks. A factor structure is used in order to allow for a parsimonious modeling of the first two moments of returns. Dynamic factor models with GARCH dynamics (GARCH(1,1)-M,...

This paper presents theoretical models and their empirical results for the return and variance dynamics of German stocks. A factor structure is used in order to allow for a parsimonious modeling of the first two moments of returns. Dynamic factor models with GARCH dynamics (GARCH(1,1)-M,...

We present a detailed bubble analysis of the Bitcoin to US Dollar price dynamics from January 2012 to February 2018. We introduce a robust automatic peak detection method that classifies price time series into periods of uninterrupted market growth (drawups) and regimes of uninterrupted market...

Liechtenstein's economy has been heavily affected by the international economic downturn during the financial crisis. Additionally to the deep world recession, Liechtenstein's financial sector was challenged by the Zumwinkel-Affair (data of thousands of tax evaders were sold to several...

Liechtenstein's economy has been heavily affected by the international economic downturn during the financial crisis. Additionally to the deep world recession, Liechtenstein's financial sector was challenged by the "Zumwinkel-Affair" (data of thousands of tax evaders were sold to several...

This paper extends the economic growth model tested by Levine and Zervos (1998) by including a measure for capital allocation efficiency proxied by stock price informativeness. Using a sample of 59 countries, this study finds that stock price informativeness as measured by firm-specific return...

This paper extends the output growth model tested by Levine and Zervos (1998) by including a measure for capital allocation efficiency proxied by stock price informativeness. Using a sample of 62 countries, this study finds that stock price informativeness as measured by firm-specific return...