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This paper investigates the relationship between market overconfidence and occurrence of stock-price bubbles. Sixty … participants traded stocks in ten experimental asset markets. Markets were constructed on the basis of subjects' overconfidence … bubble measures and trading volume on overconfident markets. Altogether, our data provide evidence that overconfidence has …
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We document using the ZEW panel of German stock market forecasters that weak forecasters tend to be overconfident in the sense that they provide extreme forecasts and their confidence intervals are less likely to contain eventual realizations. Moderate filters based on forecast accuracy over...
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