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This paper elucidates the influence of stock market volatility on U.S. consumption using pooled mean group (PMG … market volatility on consumption are robust to the lag order, lag selection criteria, and outliers compared with the mean … group (MG) and the dynamic fixed effect (DFE) methods. I find that stock market volatility reduces total consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661246
Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. There is a gamut of literature of technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and derive profit from it. Improving the prediction accuracy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014094821
This paper investigates and analyzes the long-run equilibrium relationship between the Thai stock Exchange Index (SETI) and selected macroeconomic variables using monthly time series data that cover a 20-year period from January 1990 to December 2009. The following macroeconomic variables are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010406272
This study explores dynamic relationships between stock prices and exchange rates in Asian countries. These relationships are complex and include both linear and nonlinear relationships. We employ a nonparametric causality test to explore them. The nonparametric causality test is more robust to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946764
-series techniques were used which include Cointegration, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), Impulse Response Functions (IRF) and … Variance Decompositions (VDC). Cointegration analysis, along with the VECM, suggests that interest rates, crude oil prices and … Prices ; Macroeconomic Factors ; Dhaka Stock Exchange ; Cointegration ; VEC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009737188
employing Maki's (2012) cointegration test considering multiple unknown structural breaks. In addition, the Granger causality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014331035
:Q4). Long Run Granger Causality Test, Johansen's Cointegration Test (both Bivariate & Multivariate) and Vector Error … for all the macroeconomic variables. Johansen's Cointegration results suggest presence of long run equilibrium … difference in cointegration results in pre and post crisis periods except for Inflation and Interest rate, implying that global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995658
This paper applies fractional integration and cointegration methods to examine respectively the univariate properties …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239604
Models recently studied by Farmer (2012, 2013, 2015) predict that, due to labor-market frictions and "animal spirits", stock-market fluctuations should Granger cause fluctuations of the unemployment rate. We performed several Granger-causality tests on more than half a century of data of German...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011415821
rates ; causality-in-variance ; cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009727058