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Does volatility reflect a continuous reaction to past shocks or changes in the markets induce shifts in the volatility dynamics? In this paper, we provide empirical evidence that cumulated price variations convey meaningful information about multiple regimes in the realized volatility of stocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807356
Financial market spillovers around the globeThis paper investigates the transmission of return and volatility spillovers around the globe. It draws on index futures of three representative indices, namely the Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50, the S&P 500 and the Nikkei 225. Devolatised returns and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334474
In diesem Aufsatz wird die nichtparametrische Autoregression auf die Prognose von Quantilen angewendet. Verfahren der Kernregression werden benutzt, um zu autoregressiven Quantiisschätzern zu gelangen. Da die üblichen Maße zur Beurteilung der Prognose, wie etwa der mittlere quadratische...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397885
We develop likelihood-based tests for autocorrelation and predictability in a first order non-Gaussian and …. Therefore, in addition to autocorrelation the proposed tests can also be used to test for nonlinear predictability. This makes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500219
We revisit the role of time in measuring the price impact of trades using a new empirical method that combines spread decomposition and dynamic duration modeling. Previous studies which have addressed the issue in a vector-autoregressive framework conclude that times when markets are most active...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308551
In the microstructure literature, information asymmetry is an important determinant of market liquidity. The classic setting is that uninformed dedicated liquidity suppliers charge price concessions when incoming market orders are likely to be informationally motivated. In limit order book...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308565
This paper reconsiders the issue of share price reactions to dividend announcements. Previous papers rely almost exclusively on a naive dividend model in which the dividend change is used as a proxy for the dividend surprise. We use the difference between the actual dividend and the analyst...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010309228
Die Beiträge des Bandes befassen sich mit den Mechanismen der Preisbildung auf den Finanz- und Devisenmärkten. Besonderes Interesse gilt der Rolle von Spekulation und Arbitrage und der sich daraus ergebenden Volatilität der Finanzmarktpreise. -- Der Beitrag von E. W. Streissler hat die...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014493204