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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000802302
Most of the theoretical work in the news shock literature abstracts away from structural explanations, assuming instead that news is a pure signal giving agents advance notice that aggregate technology will undergo exogenous change at some future point. This paper proposes that a surprise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055345
We develop a tractable RBC model of the stock market with heterogenous firms. Shares value rests on the rent extracted from proprietary technology à la Dixit-Stiglitz. We prove the existence and uniqueness of the fundamental equilibrium. Closed form solutions are provided for the market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245256
This paper merges two branches of the literature. On one hand we study a heterogeneous agents framework to model exchange rates and stock prices. On the other hand we model the relationship between these two series through a DSGE model. Investors choose one of two rules to form their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748370
A defining feature of business cycles is the comovement of inputs at the sectoral level with aggregate activity. Standard models cannot account for this phenomenon. This paper develops and estimates a two-sector dynamic general equilibrium model which can account for this key regularity. My...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014064194
We investigate the role of economic uncertainty in the cross-sectional pricing of individual stocks and equity portfolios. We estimate stock exposure to an economic uncertainty index and show that stocks in the lowest uncertainty beta decile generate 6% more annualized risk-adjusted return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986401
This paper introduces a bubbly asset to a standard macroeconomic model with heterogeneous agents and borrowing constraints. In this tractable quantitative framework, I show the possibility of a return-preserving bubble that absorbs savings with no good investment opportunities. Analysis of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870109
We quantify disagreement about the economy with ex-ante measures of divergence of opinion among economic forecasters and investigate if economic disagreement has a significant impact on the cross-sectional pricing of individual stocks. We find a significant disagreement premium of 7.2% per...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856755
In this paper, we construct a sample of news co-occurrences using big data technologies. We show that stocks that co-occur in news articles are less risky, bigger, and more covered by financial analysts, and economically-connected stocks are mentioned more often in the same news articles. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022291
Firm volatilities co-move strongly over time, and their common factor is the dispersion of the economy-wide firm size distribution. In the cross section, smaller firms and firms with a more concentrated customer base display higher volatility. Network effects are essential to explaining the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857145