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This paper examines how well the market anticipates regulatory sanction. We look at key dates of SEC, NASD, FTC, Congressional and foreign investigations and their subsequent resolution. Our event study confirms that the settlements provide little new information to the market. In six major case...
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We investigate the marginal predictive content of small versus large jump variation, when forecasting one-week-ahead cross-sectional equity returns, building on Bollerslev et al. (2020). We find that sorting on signed small jump variation leads to greater value-weighted return differentials...
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Breakdowns in market quality are extreme price movements that reverse once the market learns that nothing fundamental has occurred. The average daily breakdown frequency from 1993-2013 is 1.03%, with averages in 2010-2013 more than two-thirds lower at 0.34%. Breakups, extreme price increases,...
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