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-chosen equity market and implied volatility indexes over ten years. We describe such robust (to spurious correlation) relationship …
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We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
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asset return correlations are too low to account for the spreads of index tranches and, thus, point to a large correlation … realized correlations, sheds light on market perceptions of and attitude towards correlation risk. …
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