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general equilibrium (DSGE) model. We provide full-information Bayesian estimation of the DSGE model using macroeconomic … variables and extract the time-series of four latent fundamental shocks of the model: neutral technology shock, investment …-specific technological shock, monetary policy shock, and risk shock. Asset pricing tests show that our model-implied four-factor model can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933804
The existing literature on estimated structural News Driven Business Cycle (NDBC) models has focused almost exclusively on macroeconomic data and has largely ignored asset prices. In this paper, we present evidence that including data on asset prices in the estimation of a structural NDBC model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067113
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; (iii) network-based accelerator - the network structure may propagate the initial shock possibly resulting in an avalanche … of bankruptcies. In this framework, we find that stock market volatility may damage the real economy if the stock market … is too relevant. In particular, an increase of volatility worsens the economic performance through the stock market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904349
In this paper we extend the Bayesian Proxy VAR to incorporate time variation in the parameters. A Gibbs sampling algorithm is provided to approximate the posterior distributions of the model's parameters. Using the proposed algorithm, we estimate the time-varying effects of taxation shocks in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933414
In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a … vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to … monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the volatility risk premium, futures-trading volume, and leverage appear to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026088
find that an adverse oil supply shock has a negative effect on stock prices when oil inflation is low. In contrast, this … impact is negligible in the regime characterised by higher oil price inflation. Using a simple DSGE model, we suggest that … rates encourage firms to get highly leveraged. A negative oil shock in this scenario leads to a substantial increase in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895018
general and can be used to measure the informational importance of observables with respect to latent variables in DSGE models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864177