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general equilibrium (DSGE) model. We provide full-information Bayesian estimation of the DSGE model using macroeconomic … variables and extract the time-series of four latent fundamental shocks of the model: neutral technology shock, investment …-specific technological shock, monetary policy shock, and risk shock. Asset pricing tests show that our model-implied four-factor model can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933804
In this paper we extend the Bayesian Proxy VAR to incorporate time variation in the parameters. A Gibbs sampling algorithm is provided to approximate the posterior distributions of the model's parameters. Using the proposed algorithm, we estimate the time-varying effects of taxation shocks in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933414
the current monetary policy stance has larger effects on stock prices, volatility and economic policy uncertainty, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313991
In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a … vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to … monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the volatility risk premium, futures-trading volume, and leverage appear to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395968
In this paper, I use high-frequency financial market estimates to identify the monetary policy shock in a non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009760371
This paper estimates the impact of monetary policy on exchange rates and stock markets for eight small open economies: Australia, Canada, the Republic of Korea, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand. On average across these countries, a one percentage point surprise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011282915
economy. We show that a systematic central bank reaction on financial market developments dampens macroeconomic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009384917
Recent studies proposed news about future technology growth as the main driver of macroeconomic fluctuations. The identification of these news through stock prices in SVARs has been criticized in the past. Therefore, I propose a series of experiments to test that hypothesis by examining its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009229732
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014306066
frequency can be obtained almost as precisely as if volatility is observable by simply incorporating the strong information … content of realized volatility measures extracted from high-frequency data. For this purpose, we introduce asymptotically … exact volatility measurement equations in state space form and propose a Bayesian estimation approach. Our highly efficient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128339