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Recently, convincing evidence has been presented that the recession in the wake of the recent financial crisis resulted primarily from an overly levered housing sector that was forced to deleverage and cut consumption spending when faced with collapsing housing prices. Following this...
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This paper analyzes the reaction of interest rates and the stock market to macroeconomic news announcements (MNAs) at the zero lower bound (ZLB). I start by using a shadow rate term structure model to formulate three predictions for the sensitivity of interest rates to MNAs. First,...
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