A flexible statistical approach for the analysis of time-varying dynamics of transaction data on financial markets is here applied to intra-day trading strategies. A local adaptive technique is used to successfully predict financial time series, i.e., the buyer and the seller-initiated trading...

In the option pricing literature, it is well known that:(i) the decrease in the smile amplitude is much slower than standard stochastic volatility models and, (ii) the term structure of the at-the-money volatility skew is approximated by a power-law function with the exponent close to zero....