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empirical practice of omitting dividend growth from the system amounts to imposing the extra restriction that dividend growth is … not persistent. We highlight that persistence in dividend growth induces a previously overlooked channel for return … predictability, which we label "dividend momentum." Compared to estimation based on ordinary least squares, our restricted …
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This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive...
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