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This paper provides a characterization of the dynamic interactions in the VIX complex, composed of the VIX itself, the term structure of VIX futures, and VIX ETPs. I investigate a model that summarizes the VIX futures term structure using latent factors (level, slope, and curvature) and expand...
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Technical Analysis -- Catching Animal Spirits: Using Complexity Theory to Detect Speculative Moments of the Markets -- Social … Framing Creating Bull Markets of the Past: Growth Theory of Financial Markets -- Complexity Theory and Systemic Risk in the …
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Statistical analysis of stock markets and foreign exchange markets has demonstrated the intermittent nature of economic time series. A nonlinear model of business cycles is able to simulate intermittency arising from order-chaos and chaos-chaos transitions. This monograph introduces new concepts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013520745
of both levels of socio-finance are presented, and it is shown, in particular, how complexity theory provides the … broad introduction to the standard economic theory of rational financial markets and will come to understand its … shortcomings with the help of concrete examples. Complexity theory is then introduced in order to properly account for behavioral …
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The size premium, defined as the outperformance of equities of small and medium-sized companies compared with the shares of large companies, is subject to strong cyclical fluctuations over time. This study examines the predictability of this premium for the Swiss stock market. The forecasts used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003650372