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We document that the variance risk premium in asset returns decreases firms' investments.We theoretically model the premium; we find that it increases the value of the real optionto delay an investment and, thus, influences investments negatively. Empirically, we verifythe negative link between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855346
In assessing drivers of commodity prices and volatility at this stage of the current super-cycle in commodities (year 12 of a projected 25), it is vital to understand that production cost is a fundamental. Moreover, marginal production costs are among the most powerful drivers of commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120803
Stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility perform poorly relative to low idiosyncratic volatility stocks. We offer a novel explanation of this anomaly based on real options, which is consistent with earlier findings on idiosyncratic volatility (the positive contemporaneous relation between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007739
We examine how the market valuation of firms varies on account of characteristics that make them vulnerable to the COVID-19 pandemic across different stages of the crisis. Using plant location data that uniquely identify the vulnerability of firms to operational disruptions, we find that firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831358
We argue the earnings announcement premium is a measure of firm-specific uncertainty aversion. Our stylized model shows earnings announcements, as pure news events, are priced only if investors are uncertainty averse; further, the earnings announcement return is negatively correlated to future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848502
BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) are viewed currently as pillars of relative political, economic and financial stability, with the prospect of a major shift in future world power. The paper aims at investigating the relationships among the economic, financial and political...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014043055
This paper investigates the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on firms’ investment sensitivity to their peers’ stock prices. We find that investment increasingly responds to the variation of peers’ prices during the high policy uncertainty period in China. To deal with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311546
The effects of sentiment should be strongest during times of heightened valuation uncertainty. As such, we document a significant amplifying role for market uncertainty in the relation between sentiment and aggregate investment. A one-standard-deviation increase in uncertainty more than doubles...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350126
This paper explores the link between IPO underpricing and financial markets. In my model the IPO is a mean for a capital constrained initial investor to exit and thereby to raise funds for a new investment opportunity. This investor is privately informed vis-a-vis outside investors about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064598
We develop a model in which feedback effects from equity markets to firms' access to external finance allow uninformed traders to profit by short selling a firm's stock while going long on its competitors. Because this strategy distorts the investment incentives of the firm targeted by short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839910