Showing 1 - 10 of 23,105
In contrast to earlier decades, since the early 2000s, the average idiosyncratic volatility of stocks has fallen back … to its pre-1990s level. Here, we examine whether decreasing volatility still helps to explain the cross … average bond returns and lag idiosyncratic volatility are positively associated. The average returns on bonds with high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921040
three market regimes. A consistent parametric framework of stochastic volatility is used. All empirical market utility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966248
nature of the answer when the volatility differential is due to the systematic/priced risk. Here the difference in the … direction and magnitude of the net effect depends on the levels of asset beta and volatility and the moneyness and maturity of … nonlinear derivatives, one should pay attention to the source of volatility differential, and the sample range/mix of betas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968263
This study examines the relation between aggregate volatility risk and the cross-section of stock returns in Australia …. We use a stock's sensitivity to innovations in the ASX200 implied volatility (VIX) as a proxy for aggregate volatility … risk. Consistent with theoretical predictions, aggregate volatility risk is negatively related to the cross-section of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024559
An anchoring-adjusted option pricing model is developed in which the volatility of the underlying stock return is used … as a starting point that gets adjusted upwards to form expectations about call option volatility. I show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033252
future returns. We argue that these firms have negative alphas because they are a hedge against expected aggregate volatility …, and the aggregate volatility risk factor can largely explain the high RSI effect. The key mechanism is that high RSI firms … more valuable as idiosyncratic volatility goes up. Idiosyncratic volatility usually increases with aggregate volatility (i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037671
Prior research documents that volatility spreads predict stock returns. If the trading activity of informed investors … is an important driver of volatility spreads, then the predictability of stock returns should be more pronounced during … major information events. This paper investigates whether the predictability of equity returns by volatility spreads is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039227
CAPM in periods of increasing aggregate volatility and thereby provide a hedge against aggregate volatility risk. The … aggregate volatility risk factor can explain the abnormal return differential between high and low disagreement firms. This … return differential is higher for firms with abundant real options, and this fact can be explained by aggregate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039417
Because levered equity is an option on the firm, variations in asset idiosyncratic risk (ivol) induces a negative relationship between equity ivol and expected returns. We show that the effect is caused by the nonlinear payoff of equity and the law of one price, and is present in all but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910108
This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. When based on daily data, the profitability of 2580 technical models has steadily declined since 1960, and has been unprofitable since .the early 1990s....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226778