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This paper proposes a dynamic information diffusion model that explains the lead-lag reaction of stock prices resulting from the interaction of price trends and implied price risk (IPR). Consistent with our model's predictions, we construct a zero investment underreaction portfolio (overreaction...
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This study uncovers a unique dividend-tax arbitrage strategy that provides high-bracket investors the opportunity to circumvent taxation on dividend income. As the first comprehensive analysis, we examine diverse investor types, implementation techniques, and implications on stock prices....
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We study jump variance risk by jointly examining both stock and option markets. We develop a GARCH option pricing model with jump variance dynamics and a non-monotonic pricing kernel featuring jump variance risk premium. The model yields a closed-form option pricing formula and improves in...
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Bolton, Scheinkman, and Xiong (2006) model a setting where investors disagree and short-sales constraints cause pessimistic views of stock prices to be less influential, which leads to speculative stock prices. A theoretical implication of the model is that existing shareholders can exploit the...
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This paper documents that policy uncertainty reduces future stock price crash risk. Our tests show that this negative relation is more pronounced among firms with more short-sale constraints, with no actively traded credit default swap contracts, or with higher firm-level political risks. The...
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