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We evaluate the impact of Financial Accounting Standard 132 by measuring how well its required asset allocation information predicts next year's pension returns. We compare the predictive capability of several different models, including Sharpe's style model and survey data by Pensions &...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155619
Stocks with high sentiment betas are more sensitive to investor sentiment, with more subjective valuations. We contend that sentiment beta also captures the duration of mispricing. Accordingly, stocks with high (low) sentiment betas provide opportunities for momentum (contrarian) traders. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121460
We link a seemingly biased trading behavior to equilibrium asset prices. U.S. equity mutual fund managers tend to sell both their big winners and big losers. This selling pressure pushes down current prices and leads to higher future returns; aggregating across funds, we nd that securities for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856415
Using a novel database, we show that the stock-price impact of analyst trade ideas is at least as large as the impact of stock recommendation, target price, and earnings forecast changes, and that investors following trade ideas can earn significant abnormal returns. Trade ideas triggered by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012120228
We document that prior work experience of mutual fund managers outside of the asset management industry is valuable from an investment perspective in that it provides managers with a stock picking and industry timing advantage. Fund managers' stock picks from industries where they previously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410563
The active share of mutual funds drops significantly when investor sentiment is high, indicating that fund managers reduce their active stock selection and stay closer to their benchmarks during such periods. Our evidence is consistent with fund managers being sentiment-prone—challenging the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404707
This paper tests whether mutual funds on aggregate matter for the equilibrium stock returns due to (i) uncertain fund flows, which directly affect fund size and managers' income; and (ii) time-varying liquidity costs of assets. I find the aggregate shocks to fund flows enter the pricing kernel in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849960
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256342
To many people, the terror of falling share prices is often significant, often more so than the pleasure of gains. Accordingly, investors often want to minimize downside volatility as a part of their portfolio planning. Investors already have several tools to measure downside volatility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009746020
This paper studies the effect of new fund flows on investment behavior and the resulting equilibrium price of risk. The Small Fund Industry model shows equilibria with overinvestment in unprofitable and underinvestment in profitable investment opportunities. The Large Fund Industry model derives...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389297