Derivatives are playing an increasing role within the trading ecosystem of Bitcoin markets. This includes futures that are traded on US regulated exchanges like the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and unregulated exchanges like Binance. Prior research on which bitcoin markets lead in price...

We study the price impact of order flow in the world’s largest soybean meal futures markets. Our intraday results indicate that incoming orders can be used to explain price changes and to significantly predict future price changes. Our results are shown to be robust to various order flow...

We use a unique, non-public dataset of individual trader positions in 17 U.S. commodity futures markets to provide novel evidence on those markets' financialization in the past decade. We then show that the correlation between the rates of return on commodities and equities rises amid greater...

In this study, we investigate the existence of long-term co-movements among the prices of commodity futures contracts. We use a cointegration test, which accounts for the presence of a structural break. We show that while there is a long-term relationship among agricultural and among...

As the world's largest importer, trading of iron ore occupies a pivotal position in China's international trade. In order to seek the decision power of deciding the price for iron ore, China's Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) listed iron ore futures in October 2013,which has become the world's...

In March 2018, the US used an immense trade deficit as an excuse to provoke trade friction with China. This study uses the EGARCH model and event study methods to study the impact of the major risk event of Sino-US trade friction on soybean futures markets in China and the United States. Results...

This paper examines the behavior of futures prices and trader positions around the occurrence of price limits in commodity futures markets. We ask whether limit events are the result of shocks to fundamental volatility or the result of temporary volatility induced by the trading of...

In this paper, we examine the role that the Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) plays in the global price discovery of soybean futures. We employ Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) and Vector Error Correction (VEC) models on the returns of the DCE and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) soybean...

This paper examines the effects of the nondiscretionary trading demands of VIX exchangetradedproducts (ETPs) issuers on the prices and volumes in the VIX futures. We find thatthe ETPs’ information-less, mechanical rebalancing of futures positions to maintain theconstant maturity of the index...

We study the state-dependent trading behavior of financial intermediaries in the oil futures market, using structural vector autoregressions with Markov switching in heteroskedasticity. We decompose changes in futures price volatility into changes in the slopes of traders' demand curves and in...