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Recently, Fagiolo et al. (2008) find fat tails of economic growth rates after adjusting for outliers, autocorrelation, and heteroskedasticity. This paper employs US quarterly real output growth, showing that this finding of fat tails may reflect the Great Moderation. That is, leptokurtosis...
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market volatility. To identify causality, we exploit exogenous differential variation in countries' exposure to foreign … volatility shocks due to predetermined and time‐invariant bilateral characteristics. Across all specifications, we find that … stock market volatility has a positive and significant effect on the adoption of reforms. This result is robust to the …
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