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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010467171
We find that in contrast to the stock market, which performs better during Democratic presidencies, “sin” stocks — publicly traded producers of tobacco, alcohol, and gaming — perform better during Republican presidencies and even more so when the Republican presidency is accompanied by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989418
I show that news editors have state-dependent preference for different types of firms. Using the New York Times data and natural language processing techniques, I estimate the loadings of media coverage on eight common features of firms and construct the corresponding editor preference. I find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238535
Based on 58,256 news articles published in the Financial Times during a 15-year period that cover companies in the DJIA, we find that a trading strategy that longs stocks with the most negative news and shorts stocks with the least negative news is not profitable. Consistent with this result, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012207268
We analyze short-term reversal and medium-term momentum patterns in weekly stock returns in Europe. Focusing on raw and on stock-specific returns, our empirical results show for both return specifications i) a negative relation between weekly past returns and future returns in the short run and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937537
We provide evidence for a causal link between the US economy and the global financial cycle. Using intraday data, we show that US macroeconomic news releases have large and significant effects on global risky asset prices. Stock price indexes of 27 countries, the VIX, and commodity prices all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247914
This paper examines the time-series predictability of aggregate stock returns in 20 emerging markets. In contrast to the aggregate-level findings in US, earnings yield forecasts the time-series of aggregate stock returns in emerging markets. We consider aggregate earnings not as normalizing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115711
This study aims to explore the performance persistence of frontier market equity anomalies. To this end, I replicate 140 anomalies in the cross-section of returns in a sample of 23 frontier markets. I demonstrate a robust and strong performance persistence in the anomaly returns. The return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900753
Kothari, Lewellen and Warner (2006) document that in the U.S. market aggregate earnings changes are negatively related to contemporaneous market returns. This is puzzling given the well-documented evidence that firm-level earnings changes are positively related to stock returns. In this study we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008532
We identify model-free mispricing factors and relate them to global stock prices and investor beliefs. The factors measure variation in the relative mispricing of closed-end funds and their underlying assets. We design three factors to reflect the beliefs and capital flows of important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406472