This paper develops a two-sector dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to measure intangible capital stock and studies the implied riskiness of market value of capital. The equilibrium of the economy is characterized by a state-space representation of dynamic system. Kalman filter...

We evaluate the informational content of ex post and ex ante predictors of periods of excess stock (market) valuation. For a cross section comprising 10 OECD economies and a time span of at most 40 years alternative binary chronologies of price bubble periods are determined. Using these...