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We use weekly survey data on short-term and medium-term sentiment of German investors in order to study the causal relationship between investors' mood and subsequent stock price changes. In contrast to extant literature for other countries, a tri-variate vector autoregression for short-run...
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over the intermediate and long term. Given the widespread publication of sentiment indicators, smart investors should trade …-based sentiment indicators from two countries (Germany and the US). Consistent with previous research we find there is predictability …
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Germany and the US we confirm previous findings of predictability at intermediate time horizons. The main contribution of our …
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