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Statistical analysis of stock markets and foreign exchange markets has demonstrated the intermittent nature of economic time series. A nonlinear model of business cycles is able to simulate intermittency arising from order-chaos and chaos-chaos transitions. This monograph introduces new concepts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013520745
of both levels of socio-finance are presented, and it is shown, in particular, how complexity theory provides the … broad introduction to the standard economic theory of rational financial markets and will come to understand its … shortcomings with the help of concrete examples. Complexity theory is then introduced in order to properly account for behavioral …
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Technical Analysis -- Catching Animal Spirits: Using Complexity Theory to Detect Speculative Moments of the Markets -- Social … Framing Creating Bull Markets of the Past: Growth Theory of Financial Markets -- Complexity Theory and Systemic Risk in the …
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This paper offers empirical evidence on the power of Sornette et al's [2001] model of bubbles and crashes regarding the German stock market between 1960 and 2009. We identify relevant time periods and describe them with the function given by Sornette et al's model. Our results show some evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008937463
This paper provides a characterization of the dynamic interactions in the VIX complex, composed of the VIX itself, the term structure of VIX futures, and VIX ETPs. I investigate a model that summarizes the VIX futures term structure using latent factors (level, slope, and curvature) and expand...
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