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Superior to the variance, "swap variance (SwV)" summarizes the entire probability distribution of returns and is … unbiased to distributional asymmetry. Retaining the same simplicity as mean-variance (MV) model, the efficiency of mean-swap … the classical MV portfolio theory and the CAPM, is consistent with expected utility maximization for all risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934044
The paper argues that bond investors (and, implicitly large creditors in general), may not necessarily demonstrate the “Investors' Smartness” that some previous studies attributed to large institutional holders, when it comes to pricing-in for economic shocks likely to occur in future. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100689
This paper revisits what we know about the risk of stocks thanks to a non-US long term database. French stock market risk observed over the last 150 years, presents a long-term rise. Despite peace and economic stability, market risk has never converged to levels seen pre-1914. Reversely, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115417
against the benchmark, swapped or hold outright in their trading book. Different spread calculations against swap or benchmark … swap spread acts as the major tool to make investment decisions and after the bonds are purchased, an asset swap hedge will … interpolation ; zero curve ; credit curve ; steepener ; flattener ; barbell ; credit basis ; bullet ; asset swap spread ; Z …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009622377
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
This paper investigates the seasonality patterns within various asset classes. We find that a strategy that buys the assets with the largest same-calendar-month past average returns (up to ten years) and sells the assets with the smallest same-calendar-month past average returns, earns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002295
Many asset pricing theories treat the cross-section of returns volatility and correlations as two intimately related quantities driven by common factors, which hinders achieving a neat definition of a correlation premium. We formulate a model without factors, but with a continuum of securities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421289
I generalize the long-run risks (LRR) model of Bansal and Yaron (2004) by incorporating recursive smooth ambiguity aversion preferences from Klibanoff et al. (2005, 2009) and time-varying ambiguity. Relative to the Bansal-Yaron model, the generalized LRR model is as tractable but more flexible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617667
measure VRP which distinguishes the investment horizon from the variance swap's maturity. We extract VRP from actual rather … than synthetic S&P 500 variance swap quotes, thus avoiding biases in VRP measurement. Next, we find that a deterioration of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412464
measure VRP which distinguishes the investment horizon from the variance swap's maturity. We extract VRP from actual rather … than synthetic S&P 500 variance swap quotes, thus avoiding biases in VRP measurement. Next, we find that a deterioration of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472838