Stock and Treasury bond comovement, volatilities, and their relations to their price valuations and fundamentals change stochastically over time, both in magnitude and direction. These stochastic changes are explained by a general equilibrium model in which agents learn about composite economic...

This paper evaluates in-sample and out-of-sample stock return predictability with inflation and output gap, the variables that typically enter the Federal Reserve Bank's interest rate setting rule. To examine the role of monetary policy fundamentals for stock return predictability, we introduce...

I develop a stochastic growth model with production where there is a hidden state governing productivity growth regimes, and the hidden state evolves according to a Markov chain. Economic agents learn about the hidden state and display ambiguity aversion in the spirit of Klibanoff et al. (2005)....

Investors have different preferences for portfolio skewness and kurtosis, i.e. return asymmetry and tail fatness. We build up a new equilibrium model with three types of investors whose preferences can be characterized by "MV", "MVS" and "MVSK". (M: Mean V: Variance S: Skewness K: Kurtosis) and...

We derive the equilibrium asset expected returns when there is ambiguity in asset expected returns, as well as ambiguity in asset return variances. In our model, ambiguity risk is systematic in nature and is non-diversifiable. Under regularity conditions, expected asset returns are linearly...

We show that geographical variation in the level of investor sophistication influences local asset prices. Investors in less sophisticated regions exhibit stronger trading correlations, and correspondingly, the returns of firms headquartered in less sophisticated areas are more strongly...

This paper uses the reinvestment of corporate payouts by financial institutions as a nonfundamental shock to asset prices to estimate the slope of the demand curve for stocks and the real effects of stock returns on corporate financing and investment. Exploiting the separation of announcement...