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Evidence on the effectiveness of FX interventions is either limited to short horizons or hampered by debatable identification. We address these limitations by identifying a structural vector autoregressive model for the daily frequency with an external instrument. Generally, we find, for freely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838674
Evidence on the effectiveness of FX interventions in the prevailing higher frequency approaches leaves a gap at horizons going beyond a few days. This is addressed by identifying a structural vector autoregressive model for the daily frequency with an external instrument. Using Japanese data, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012232128
Evidence on the effectiveness of FX interventions is either limited to short horizons or hampered by debatable identification. We address these limitations by identifying a structural vector autoregressive model for the daily frequency with an external instrument. Generally, we find, for freely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179576
Evidence on the effectiveness of FX interventions is either limited to short horizons or hampered by debatable identification. We address these limitations by identifying a structural vector autoregressive model for the daily frequency with an external instrument. Generally, we find, for freely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180848
shocks significantly affect exchange rates and that this impact persists for months. We show for Japan and the US that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138448
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011823435
The paper investigates the role of speculation in the Liverpool cotton futures market between 1921 and 1929. The analysis is based on historical descriptions of the working of speculation in commodity markets and is related to the tenets of behavioural finance. The model posits the existence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085214
market index and incorporate the characteristics to form an out-of-sample volatility forecast. Contrary to prior evidence … volatility. In order to reflect this intuition, we implement three diagnostic tests for volatility models: the Sign Bias Test … volatility differently which contradicts our presumption that there are asymmetric effects in the stock market volatility. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942723
the cash flow channel and the volatility channel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087550
We provide new empirical evidence that world currency and U.S. stock variance risk premiums have nonredundant and significant predictive power for the appreciation rates of twenty-two currencies with respect to the U.S. dollar, especially at the four-month and one-month horizons, respectively....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008002