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We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256970
can generate a plausible disaggregation of the conditional variance process, in which the components' volatility dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767120
Based on criteria of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model … is constructed, the volatility process being driven by fractional noise. Price return statistics and asymptotic behavior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132290
In this article we introduce a linear quadratic volatility model with co-jumps and show how to cal- ibrate this model … simultaneous jumps in both re- turn process and volatility process and the superposition structure of a continuous linear quadratic … volatility process and a Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We compare the quality of fit for several models, and show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840075
We propose a mixed frequency stochastic volatility (MFSV) model for the dynamics of intraday asset return volatility …. In order to account for long-memory we separate stochastic daily and intraday volatility patterns by introducing a long …-run component that changes at daily frequency and a short-run component that captures the remaining intraday volatility dynamics. An …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903646
We estimate three continuous-time stochastic volatility models following the approach by Aït-Sahalia and Kimmel (2007 … and S&P 500 Index. For the latent volatility variable, we generate and use the integrated volatility proxy using the … implied volatility of short-dated at-the-money option prices. We conduct MLE in order to estimate the parameters of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895741
forecasting the volatility of equity prices, using high-frequency data from 2000 to 2016. We consider the SPY and 20 stocks that …, 60 and 300 seconds), forecast horizons (1, 5, 22 and 66 days) and the use of standard and robust-to-noise volatility and …-time forecasts than the HAR-RV model, although no single extended model dominates. In general, standard volatility measures at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030057
We develop tests for deciding whether a large cross‐section of asset prices obey an exact factor structure at the times of factor jumps. Such jump dependence is implied by standard linear factor models. Our inference is based on a panel of asset returns with asymptotically increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012042424
Optimal execution and trading algorithms rely on price impact models, like the propagator model, to quantify trading costs. Empirically, price impact is concave in trade sizes, leading to nonlinear models for which optimization problems are intractable and even qualitative properties such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237952
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012664628