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by directly applying economic theory or by examining simple parametric models to identify the coarse features of the … example, the curse of dimensionality can be circumvented, the estimation accuracy on boundaries can be improved, or the bias …
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We show that understanding the role of analysts' forecast bias is central to discovering the behavior that causes some … dispersion contribute significantly to many important anomalies. We first explain how forecast bias produces significant negative …
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Technological progress in recent years has made new methods available for making forecasts in a variety of areas. We examine the success of ex-ante stock market forecasts of three major stock market indices, i.e., the German Stock Market Index (DAX), the Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJI), and the...
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