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We use a Panel Smooth Transition Regression (STR) model to study nonlinearities in the expectation-formation process in the U.S. stock market. To this end, we use data from the Livingston survey to investigate how the importance of regressive and extrapolative expectations fluctuates over time...
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, desired working hours, and household debt, but have only small effects on expected spending. We provide correlational and … household exposure to stock market crashes for expectation formation. …
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