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Inflation risks are explicit in either (i) the nominal pricing of real payoffs in which prices are denominated in … involves over-the-counter inflation-indexed contracts of real asset market, the latter involves exchange-traded and highly … markets. The model obtains a liquidity-free distribution of future inflation using new price data of T-note futures in nominal …
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We investigate the overconfidence theory and inflation-illusion hypothesis of asset mispricing. Both concepts address … markets. Further, we find that asset turnover subsumes expected inflation in certain specifications; suggesting that …
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We summarize the general combination approach by Billio et al. [2010]. In the combination model the weights follow logistic autoregressive processes, change over time and their dynamics are possible driven by the past forecasting performances of the predictive densities. For illustrative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386476
When can policy makers use policy-relevant information from financial market prices and how does policy affect price informativeness? I analyze a novel setting with noise where a policy maker tries to infer information about a state variable from prices to improve policy decisions, and policy in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937900
In the paper we present the application of risk neutral measure estimation in the analysis of the index WIG20 from Polish stock market. The risk neutral measure is calculated from the process of the options on that index. We assume that risk neutral measure is the mixture of lognormal...
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