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form the best linear forecasts for future volatility we find that the behavioral model generates sensible forecasts that …
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apply extreme value theory (EVT) distributions to predict extreme losses of five South African (SA) financial times stock …
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In this paper, we used the GARCH (1,1) and GARCH-M (1,1) models to investigate volatility and persistence at daily … persistence of volatility, meaning that the conditional volatility tends to revert faster to the long-term mean than the other … statistically significant and positive (thus confirming the hypothesis that an increase in volatility leads an increase in future …
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