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news shock through their identification. However, the news shock leads to a stock market boom with a negligible impact on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181050
We explore the implications of shocks to expected future productivity in a setting with limited enforcement of … response to positive news about future productivity, as well as the other properties of an expectation driven business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003833848
We propose a new instrument to identify uncertainty shocks in a SVAR model with external instruments. The instrument is constructed by exploiting variations in the price of gold around events that capture periods of changes in uncertainty. The variations in the price of gold around the events...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602536
innovation to stock return correlation in a vector autoregression are nearly identical to those of a news shock about future … productivity. Thus, market-wide changes in return correlation contain information about changes in future technological …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014227600
deviation increase in oil price volatility leads to a 0.38 percent increase in the markup of firms with average oil exposure. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012695355
We develop a dynamic model with time variation in external equity financing costs and show that variation in these costs is important for the model to quantitatively capture the joint dynamics of firms' asset prices, real quantities, and financial flows in the U.S. economy. Growth firms and high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010353303
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013259395
shocks to the real interest rate. The common theme among these identifications is a technological change in productivity that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009229732
We show that a model with imperfectly forecastable changes in future productivity and an occasionally binding … collateral constraint can match a set of stylized facts about "sudden stop" events. "Good" news about future productivity raises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011338832
We present evidence that shocks to household consumption growth are negatively skewed, persistent, countercyclical, and drive asset prices. We construct a parsimonious model where heterogeneous households have recursive preferences. A single state variable drives the conditional cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034190