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emphasis of this paper is on assessing the performance of long memory time series models in comparison to their short …-memory counterparts. Since long memory models should have a particular advantage over long forecasting horizons, we consider predictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294979
processes. The aim of this paper is to provide the characteristics of a causal multi-fractal model (replacing the earlier … forecasting financial volatility. We use the auto-covariances of log increments of the multi-fractal process in order to estimate … ?scaling? approach. Our empirical estimates are used in out-of-sample forecasting of volatility for a number of important …
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Bayesian forecasting of volatility. However, applicability of MLE is restricted to cases with a discrete distribution of … leads to gains in forecasting accuracy for some time series. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295106
emphasis of this paper is on assessing the performance of long memory time series models in comparison to their short …-memory counterparts. Since long memory models should have a particular advantage over long forecasting horizons, we consider predictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295136
forecasting of volatility. However, applicability of MLE is restricted to cases with a discrete distribution of volatility … leads to gains in forecasting accuracy for some time series. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295151
In this paper we present an exact maximum likelihood treatment forthe estimation of a Stochastic Volatility in Mean … this paper together with a Monte Carlo study toinvestigate the small-sample properties of the SVM estimators. Takingthese …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324578
With the aim of constructing predictive distributions for daily returns, we introduce a new Markov normal mixture model in which the components are themselves normal mixtures. We derive the restrictions on the autocovariances and linear representation of integer powers of the time series in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604877