Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to compare the ability of popular temperature models, namely, the models given by Alaton et al., by Benth and Benth, by Campbell and Diebold and by Brody et al., to forecast the prices of heating/cooling degree days (HDD/CDD) futures for New York,...

In this paper, we utilize a mean reverting stochastic process to model the dynamic behaviour of natural gas consumption, where a Brownian motion drives the noise. We employ daily data on natural gas consumption from Istanbul, Turkey to estimate our model and evaluate the forecast performance by...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to compare the ability of popular temperature models, namely, the models given by Alaton et al. , by Benth and Benth, by Campbell and Diebold and by Brody et al. , to forecast the prices of heating/cooling degree days (HDD/CDD) futures for New York,...