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[...]This paper aims to ascertain the quality (that is, thepredictive power and prediction errors) of two marketindicators: the distance to default and the subordinated debtspread. Previous work has established that banks’ marketprices reflect contemporaneous information about bank riskin the...
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[...]In this article, we demonstrate how such industry-specific realexchange rates can be constructed and present the recent pathsof these indexes. We next present three basic real exchange ratemeasures for each industry: one using export partner weightsonly, a second using import partner...
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[...]These political considerations may seem tangential to thesubject of price hedonics, but the events following fromGreenspan’s remark have linked the two issues. First, theSenate Finance Committee consulted a panel of experts, andthat panel reached a consensus supporting...
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[...]The final force of change is the continual evolution of thedelivery channels through which financial services are offered.This has occurred in many ways and in several stages. First, theuse of postal services substituted for physical market presence;this was followed by increased use of...
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[...]Because of these concerns, this article examines the value ofthe Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey in predicting bothlending and output.1 We find that the changes in commercialcredit standards reported by loan officers are indeed linked toaggregate loan growth. Commercial lending by U.S....
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[...]Our analysis of how U.S. financial market structure haschanged over the last decade produces more definitiveconclusions. Using firm-level data from a variety of sources, including data collected by central banks, we document that inaggregate, most U.S. wholesale credit and capital markets...
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