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We examine whether CDS contracts written on individual banks are effective leading indicators of bank financial distress during a period of systemic bank crisis. Changes in CDS spreads are found to yield a robust signal of failure across a set of European and US banks, in keeping with indirect...
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In this article, we test the implied volatility of a credit risk of a bond, an interest rate swap and a swaption of … rate swap is linked to an option. The integration of an interest rate swap with an option is known as swaption. The swap … market has no government regulation, there is no clearinghouse and the swap dealer has to price the swap transactions and …
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We propose a statistical measure, based on correlation networks, to evaluate the systemic risk that could arise from the resolution of a failing or likely-to-fail financial institution, under three alternative scenarios: liquidation, private recapitalization, or bail-in. The measure enhances the...
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