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We study the impact of increasingly negative central bank policy rates on banks' propensity to become undercapitalized in a financial crisis ('SRisk'). We find that the risk impact of negative rates is moderate, and depends on banks' business models: Banks with diversified income streams are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011719935
We study the impact of increasingly negative central bank policy rates on banks' propensity to become undercapitalized in a financial crisis (`SRisk'). We find that the risk impact of negative rates depends on banks' business models: Large banks with diversified income streams are perceived as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011642197
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903443
In this paper, we survey the nascent literature on the transmission of negative policy rates. We discuss the theory of how the transmission depends on bank balance sheets, and how this changes once policy rates become negative. We review the growing evidence that negative policy rates are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518247
We show that negative policy rates affect the supply of bank credit in a novel way. Banks are reluctant to pass on negative rates to depositors, which increases the funding cost of high-deposit banks, and reduces their net worth, relative to low-deposit banks. As a consequence, the introduction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011881156
We analyze the effect of negative monetary policy rates on banks, using detailed supervisory information from Switzerland. For identification, we compare changes in the behavior of banks that had different fractions of their central bank reserves exempt from negative rates. More affected banks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011795014
We construct a new systemic risk measure that quantifies vulnerability to fire-sale spillovers using detailed regulatory balance sheet data for U.S. commercial banks and repo market data for broker-dealers. Even for moderate shocks in normal times, fire-sale externalities can be substantial. For...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202672
Building on previous research, we study banks' balance sheet year‐end patterns in the European Union (EU) to assess the impact on supervisory measures of their systemic importance. We find that some global systemically important banks (G‐SIBs) in the EU compress their balance sheet at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012498961
Frictions prevent banks to immediately adjust their capital ratio towards their desired and/or imposed level. This paper analyzes (i) whether or not these frictions are larger for regulatory capital ratios vis-à-vis a plain leverage ratio; (ii) which adjustment channels banks use to adjust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011995381
This paper uses Bayesian model averaging (BMA) techniques to examine the driving factors of equity returns of U.S. financial institutions. The main advantage of BMA is accounting for model uncertainty. For the period 1986-2010, we fi nd that the most likely model explaining banking sector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086863