We investigate the propagation of contagion through banks' balance sheets in a two-country model. We simulate an increase in non-performing loans in one bank, and study the effects on other banks and the macro economy of each country. We show that credit crunches destabilize each economy in the...

How does bank distress impact their customers' probability of default and trade credit availability? We address this question by looking at a unique sample of German firms from 2000 to 2011. We follow their firm-bank relationships through times of distress and crisis, featuring the different...

We develop a model of neural networks to study the bankruptcy of U.S. banks. We provide a new model to predict bank defaults some time before the bankruptcy occurs, taking into account the specific features of the current financial crisis. Based on data from the Federal Deposit Insurance...

Utilising a unique data set with annual accounts from around 37,000 Danish non-financial firms spanning almost one and a half decade, we offer microeconometric evidence on bankfirm relationships and the survival of firms during the financial crisis 2008-9. Within the framework of...

Utilising a unique data set with annual accounts from around 37,000 Danish non-financial firms spanning one and a half decade or so, we offer microeconometric evidence on bankfirm relationships and the performance of non-financial firms during the financial crisis 2008-09. Two major conclusions...

Banking system crises are complex events that in a short span of time can inflict extensive damage to banks themselves and to the external economy. The crisis liter- ature has so far identified a number of distinct effects or channels that can propagate distress contagiously both directly within...

Credit risk is the main risk in the banking sector and is as such one of key issues for financial stability. We estimate various PD models and use them in the application to credit rating classification. Models include firm specific characteristics and macroeconomic or time effects. By linking...

We study the sensitivity of the realised loss-given-default (LGD) to macroeconomic conditions by exploring Global Credit's confidential dataset on observed cash flows from defaulted loans. Given the prolonged duration of loan recovery, spanning several years, and the potential for macroeconomic...

Utilising a unique data set with annual accounts from around 37,000 Danish non-financial firms spanning one and a half decade or so, we offer microeconometric evidence on bankfirm relationships and the performance of non-financial firms during the financial crisis 2008-09. Two major conclusions...