Showing 1 - 10 of 1,178
We review heterogeneous agent-based models of financial stability and their application in stress tests. In contrast to the mainstream approach, which relies heavily on the rational expectations assumption and focuses on situations where it is possible to compute an equilibrium, this approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906282
Higher bank credit growth implies that excess returns of bank stocks over the next one year are lower by nearly 3%. Credit growth tracks bank stock returns over the business cycle and explains nearly 14% of the variation in bank stock returns over a 1-year horizon. I argue that the predictive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940376
Higher bank credit growth implies that excess returns of bank stocks over the next one year are lower by nearly 3%. Credit growth tracks bank stock returns over the business cycle and explains nearly 14% of the variation in bank stock returns over a 1-year horizon. I argue that the predictive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014265311
This article begins with an analysis of banking flows in the euro zone, through a complex network, from 2006 to 2020. This analysis allows us to observe the topology of the network through different phases of the business cycle. It is obtained that there is greater fragmentation in the network...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502810
This paper aims to shed light on the emergence of systemic risk in credit systems. By developing an interbank market with heterogeneous financial institutions granting loans on different network structures, we investigate what market architecture is more resilient to liquidity shocks and how the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011302383
The history of banking provides a view that banks are often a liability to stable economies and their behavior can promote inequality, especially when they are involved in imprudent manipulation of credit and money and require government bailouts. What is the future of capitalism without banks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910667
We build a market equilibrium model of loan securitization as an alternative explanation of the cause of the recent Financial Crisis where there was initially deteriorating loan quality but coupled with aggressive securitization, and later investors “flight to quality” and market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978715
This paper aims to shed light on the emergence of systemic risk in credit systems. By developing an interbank market with heterogeneous financial institutions granting loans on different network structures, we investigate what market architecture is more resilient to liquidity shocks and how the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018252
Using search volume data on crisis-related queries from Google Trends, we estimate three different measures of market-level and individual crisis sentiment. We find that the stock performance of international banks during the period Q1 2004 to Q4 2012 was significantly driven by investors'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020958
Banking crises are recurrent phenomena, often induced by ex-ante excessive bank risk-taking, which may be due to behavioral reasons (over-optimistic banks neglecting risks) and to agency problems between bank shareholders with debt-holders and taxpayers (banks understand high risk-taking). We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992331